PA-15: DPI is 43.4%
November 15, 2012 by · 8 Comments
This is a blog about Pennsylvania!
May 25, 2013 By Jon Geeting 1 Comment
When many liberals look at a rag-tag group of neighborhood activists fighting against a corporation, their tribal instinct is to back the neighborhood activists. But when it comes to the issue of infill housing development, this gets the politics exactly backwards. Renter/home-buyer interests and housing developer interests are basically aligned. Not perfectly aligned, but about as well aligned as any political coalition is [...]
May 22, 2013 By Jon Geeting Leave a Comment
In this era of tight budgets, cities are looking for ways to grow their tax bases without asking individual households to contribute more taxes. Here’s the first place they should look. Different kinds of buildings yield different amounts of property tax revenue per acre. Many areas limit residential development to just one house per acre. [...]
May 25, 2013 By Jon Geeting 1 Comment
When many liberals look at a rag-tag group of neighborhood activists fighting against a corporation, their tribal instinct is to back the neighborhood activists. But when it comes to the issue of infill housing development, this gets the politics exactly backwards. Renter/home-buyer interests and housing developer interests are basically aligned. Not perfectly aligned, but about as well aligned as any political coalition is [...]
May 13, 2013 By Jon Geeting Leave a Comment
The point of political blogging is not that you’ll directly reach so many voters that you’ll shape opinions about elections. The point is that for every couple dozen low-information voters, there’s a *political friend* who people ask who to vote for the week before an election. The point of blogging is to shape the opinions [...]
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Jon, let’s not kid ourselves–Charlie barely ran a campaign. Had Daugherty popped his head up even a bit, he would have been wac-a-moled into oblivion. Same thing happened when Dertinger was the warm body on the ballot in 06.
Right so that’s the margin of Democrats a warm body can win just by being the Dem nominee. The Dem candidate in 2014 only needs to win another 7% of the electorate to get to 50. Hard but not unthinkable.
Wrong, because Charlie won’t run a real campaign against a warm body. Against a real threat, he becomes a different animal (e.g., Driscoll, Bennett, and Callahan).
Dems in this area are always going to get 40-45%, as are Republicans. It’s that moderate ticket splitter you have to woo to get over the top. You remember, the voter you said doesn’t decide elections?
There’s your challenge. The only type of Democrat who can win that vote here is one you’d hate, given that you’re part of the lunatic left fringe.
Oh well.
Just a few more years of population growth in Allentown should do the trick
Decades. If ever.
Would’ve been quicker if Easton didn’t get gerrymandered out of the district.
Question re PA-15 is: How effective will dark money and superpac dollars be post-election 2012? Obama’s staunch defense of traditional American values resonated with a large cross-section of voters. A warm Democratic body willing to do the same — while withstanding numbskull attacks from the right — could prevail in 2014.