PA-15: DPI is 43.4%



  1. Guy Incognito says:

    Jon, let’s not kid ourselves–Charlie barely ran a campaign. Had Daugherty popped his head up even a bit, he would have been wac-a-moled into oblivion. Same thing happened when Dertinger was the warm body on the ballot in 06.

    • Jon Geeting says:

      Right so that’s the margin of Democrats a warm body can win just by being the Dem nominee. The Dem candidate in 2014 only needs to win another 7% of the electorate to get to 50. Hard but not unthinkable.

  2. Guy Incognito says:

    Wrong, because Charlie won’t run a real campaign against a warm body. Against a real threat, he becomes a different animal (e.g., Driscoll, Bennett, and Callahan).

  3. Dems in this area are always going to get 40-45%, as are Republicans. It’s that moderate ticket splitter you have to woo to get over the top. You remember, the voter you said doesn’t decide elections?

    There’s your challenge. The only type of Democrat who can win that vote here is one you’d hate, given that you’re part of the lunatic left fringe.

    Oh well.

  4. Decades. If ever.

  5. Would’ve been quicker if Easton didn’t get gerrymandered out of the district.

  6. Question re PA-15 is: How effective will dark money and superpac dollars be post-election 2012? Obama’s staunch defense of traditional American values resonated with a large cross-section of voters. A warm Democratic body willing to do the same — while withstanding numbskull attacks from the right — could prevail in 2014.

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