Look at this chart ranking the tipping point states in order and ask yourself which of the states making up the 272 strongest electoral votes for Obama could be flipped by a future Republican candidate. How does that Republican candidate make 270?
I’m not seeing it. And every year, demographics bring Texas more and more into play. Latinos will be a plurality of the electorate in Texas by 2014. It is hard to see what the Republican Party can do, and do quickly enough, to avoid becoming a regional party with a few pockets of strength outside the South.