Archives for November 8, 2012

Youth Turnout Was Higher Than 2008

A bigger generation than the Baby Boomers voting at this kind of spread for the Democrats is a political nightmare for the Republican Party. The lesson from political science is that early partisan affiliations tend to get locked in for life.

Specifically, the relative success or failure of the President before your first election as a voter has a big impact on your party ID. Young people voting for the first time in 1980 broke huge for Reagan because Carter was such a crap President, and that generation continues to lean more Republican. And so it will be with people who voted for Barack Obama for the first time after years of national embarrassment and mismanagement under Bush.

Young voters represented a greater share of the national electorate Tuesday than four years ago, once again voting for President Barack Obama by a huge margin, boosting his reelection.

Voters from ages 18 to 29 represented 19 percent of all those who voted on Tuesday, according to the early National Exit Poll conducted by Edison Research. That’s an increase of one percentage point from 2008. Obama captured 60 percent youth vote, compared with Mitt Romney’s 36 percent.

Affordable Housing Program in Bethlehem: First Do No Harm

I think the best way to think about the Employer Assisted Housing program in Bethlehem is that it’s layering a pretty decent idea on top of crap.

The zoning ordinance has multiple provisions that make the market prices for housing more expensive than they have to be. Without anti-density zoning rules like parking minimums, minimum lot sizes and height limits in the neighborhoods in the urban grid on Southside and Northside, the market prices would be cheaper, and lower income folks would be better able to rent or buy housing.

What’s more, the insistence on separating land uses forces people to waste money and time driving, and if they didn’t have to go outside of housing-designated areas to get food and other stuff, they’d save money at the margins.

City regulations raise the cost of living for poor people, and then you need programs like this to help a few of them afford the inflated cost of housing. It would be better to just stop making housing extra expensive in the first place.

Karl Blew It


“The billionaire donors I hear are livid,” one Republican operative told The Huffington Post. “There is some holy hell to pay. Karl Rove has a lot of explaining to do ‚Ķ I don’t know how you tell your donors that we spent $390 million and got nothing.”